Codex agentic strata — 2026-09-07¶
The same 16 blast-radius tasks were then executed on the other two declared strata, at high reasoning effort on Codex CLI 0.153.4, 48/48 cells persisted in each, under the same repaired agentic_contracts prompt as Luna⁺ and Luna⁺⁺:
Terra—results/codex-agentic-20260907T140422Z,gpt-5.6-terraagainst the shared clone and the locked index3c584089…. Started 2026-09-07T14:04:22Z.Sol—results/codex-agentic-20260907T141122Z,gpt-5.6-sol, launched--agentic --isolatedagainst a private run worktree holding a relocated copy of that index (6f2d3cd7…, same graph content at a different path). Started 2026-09-07T14:11:22Z.
These are the first agentic studies of either stratum, and they exist because of a defect rather than a plan: until 2026-09-07 the launcher's --models selection reached the structural lane only, and the agentic lane silently ran the manifest's default stratum. Every earlier "sol" or "terra" agentic invocation therefore produced a Luna study. A third artifact from the same afternoon, results/codex-agentic-20260907T140408Z, holds zero cells and a KeyboardInterrupt status: it is an interrupted launch, not a study, and nothing in this file reads from it.
| Run | Pair | Cells | Control score | Treatment score | Gain | Cells correct | Tokens | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terra | A_plain vs C_strict | 16 | 0.932 | 0.970 | +0.038 | 11 → 13 | −3% | −31% |
| Terra | A_plain vs B_auto | 16 | 0.932 | 0.826 | −0.106 | 11 → 5 | −1% | −33% |
| Sol | A_plain vs C_strict | 16 | 0.967 | 0.991 | +0.023 | 12 → 15 | −21% | −40% |
| Sol | A_plain vs B_auto | 16 | 0.967 | 0.855 | −0.112 | 12 → 6 | +54% | −14% |
Score is the mean semantic quality over the scored cells; token and time are cohort totals against A_plain, the same estimator the two tables above use. Both runs scored all 16 cells in all three arms — no envelope loss, no incomplete cell, no contamination — so these are the cleanest Codex agentic artifacts in the record.
Sol is the strongest strict-arm result this lane has produced, and it is also the cleanest. Fifteen of sixteen cells correct against twelve, every C_strict cell adherent, 21% fewer input tokens, 43% less wall-clock at the paired median. It converts BA-01, BA-12, BA-13, and BA-15 and loses only BA-08, where both treatment arms land on 0.850 against a perfect control.
Terra's strict arm gains on the same tasks but pays nothing back in tokens. Its cohort totals are almost flat across the three arms — 3.12M, 3.08M, and 3.04M gross input for A_plain, B_auto, and C_strict — so the saving that every other stratum shows is absent here, and the paired median over its ten admissible pairs is only −14%. Frozen native output records a query in every strict cell. The six historical nonadherence records (BA-01, BA-04, BA-05, BA-12, BA-14, BA-16) instead reflect an observation mismatch: those cells used per-cell absolute launchers while the original rule credited only the literal variable form. Absolute paths need reviewed per-coordinate provenance in replay and are never inferred from a basename. The flat token totals are descriptive, not evidence that the tool was skipped. BA-12 is the extreme case at 574.0k input tokens against its control's 267.7k.
The optional arm now fails on every Codex stratum, not just on Luna. B_auto ends below its own control in all five Codex agentic executions up to this point — eight of eight once the balanced-order sweep is counted — and the two strata here are the worst of the five: 11 → 5 on terra and 12 → 6 on sol, both −37.5 points. Sol's optional arm also reads more input than its control — 3.90M against 2.53M gross, a +45% paired median — so on that stratum the available-but-optional integration costs both accuracy and tokens. Uptake does not explain it: B_auto reached for Codemap on 14 of 16 terra cells and 16 of 16 sol cells. Those counts are codemap_used, the observational signal, which credits a query issued inside a compound shell command; the stricter codemap_calls, which demands one standalone canonical query, reads 5 of 16 on terra and 14 of 16 on sol. Terra habitually chained its queries behind && or ;, so the gap between the two fields is a shell-style difference and not a difference in whether the tool ran. A_plain used it on none under either field, in both runs.
Expected-importer recall is 0.990 for A_plain and B_auto and 1.000 for C_strict in both runs; the single cell below full recall in each is BA-15, which the strict arm alone resolves completely. Discovery efficiency (DEFF) means run 3.56 / 2.71 / 2.47 on terra and 3.45 / 1.73 / 3.29 on sol — the one metric where the unaided control leads, because a grep-driven arm issues many cheap commands that each touch an expected importer.
Cached input is 86% of gross on terra's control and 84% on sol's, so the token columns here are gross-input claims with the same caveat the structural tables carry: sol's 21% gross reduction is a 21% fresh reduction (410.6k → 322.7k), which is the one place gross and fresh happen to agree.
These runs share the arm-order confound with every other table in this lane, and each is one execution at one repetition per cell. Two strata agreeing on the direction of B_auto is worth more than either alone; neither is a replication of the other's magnitude.
These two executions, together with Luna⁺⁺ above, held the Codex rows of the cross-provider table until the balanced-order sweep replaced them. Their binary paired rows are kept here so nothing published is lost when the table moves:
| Run | Arm | Paired n | Control accuracy | Treatment accuracy | Gain | Tokens | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luna⁺⁺ | C_strict | 16 | 68.8% (11/16) | 81.2% (13/16) | +12.5 pp (+2) | −45% | −49% |
| Luna⁺⁺ | B_auto | 16 | 68.8% (11/16) | 43.8% (7/16) | −25.0 pp (−4) | −15% | −35% |
| Terra | C_strict | 10 | 70.0% (7/10) | 80.0% (8/10) | +10.0 pp (+1) | −14% | −27% |
| Terra | B_auto | 16 | 68.8% (11/16) | 31.2% (5/16) | −37.5 pp (−6) | +7% | −32% |
| Sol | C_strict | 16 | 75.0% (12/16) | 93.8% (15/16) | +18.8 pp (+3) | −21% | −43% |
| Sol | B_auto | 16 | 75.0% (12/16) | 37.5% (6/16) | −37.5 pp (−6) | +45% | −15% |